With the 2014 electoral battle nearing in India and the final outcome of the elections two months away from us the opinion polls conducted so far suggest that Narendra Modi’s BJP will be the single largest party and is set to get 195 seats to 205 seats in the 16th Lok Sabha, its best showing ever in its 34-year history. Rahul Gandhi’s Congress is likely to end up with 106 to 120, its worst performance in the more than century old history of party.
If we go by these opinion polls the scenario for Congress looks quiet bleak. Assam gives the Congress the only reason to smile. It is likely to sweep the state with its expected partner AUDF. Regional parties and newly formed parties will have once again a big say.
The opinion poll shows that 185 seats in the new Lok Sabha will be split between regional and small parties and the Left. This includes Arvind Kejriwal’s year-old Aam Aadmi Party, which is ahead in Delhi, but has not extended its area of influence in other states. So the political situation suggests we are in for hung parliament if no alliances are formed.
But, it is from these 185 seats that the BJP will look for allies to make up the numbers it needs to form government. Among them are Tamil Nadu’s J Jayalalithaa and West Bengal’s Mamata Banerjee, both likely to post big wins in their states. The 2014 electoral battle looks to be all more thrilling and spicy.